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Cheap new crop WCS, Rains coming... $11.00 del. shell for next week.

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Tuesday, August 23, 2016 -  Canada’s Big Crop Prospects Raise Fears About Grain-Handling
Canada’s Big Crop Prospects Raise Fears About Grain-Handling, Railway Systems: Farmers are growing the biggest Canadian harvests of wheat and canola in several years, despite stormy summer weather, a Reuters survey of 14 traders and analysts showed ahead of the government's first production report of the year. Expectations for big crops, due to mostly favorable growing conditions since spring, have raised concerns about whether the grain-handling system and railways will have ample capacity to move them smoothly. The survey forecast, on average, all-wheat production at 30.4 million metric tons, the largest crop in three years and up +10% from a year ago. The increase is mainly due to big output of durum. Canola production is on track for 18.1 million metric tons, the second-largest Canadian harvest ever, and up +5% year over year, traders expect. (Source: Reuters)

Friday, June 24, 2016 -  Thirsty Corn : New Report says 44% of Iowa abnormally dry or worse

Friday, May 27, 2016 - Advice on Protein Prices
What farmers think of this year’s growing season depends upon the amount of rain that has fallen on their fields.

In northeast and east-central Iowa, where rain has fallen when needed if not sooner, crops have taken advantage of an exceptionally warm June to stretch their leaves to the sky.

In southeast Iowa, where some farmers have not had measurable rain for three weeks, the corn leaves are rolling up to conserve moisture each morning.

Read More HERE!

Friday, May 27, 2016 - Advice on Protein Prices

The quote below is from the 5-26 Van Trump report and concerns the very big spike in soymeal prices over the past 60 days. Soybean meal for the July contract went from $269.60 on April 8 to $415.30 today. Why? The comments below are a large part of the explanation. I would expect lower protein prices sometime in the next 30-60 days. If we don’t get the reasons are related to Brazil, Argentina and other macroeconomic factors and not supply and demand.

“Keep in mind meal has now moved to highs not seen since late-2014 and the traditional fundamentalist are scratching their head as the "cash market" seems somewhat non-responsive. Most of the traditional fundamentalist will tell you a setup like this could end at any moment with the bullish rug being ripped out form under the market in the blink of an eye. I would agree, especially if we are talking about the markets a few years back. Today's markets however are much more complex and different than in years past. Sector allocations and cross-hedging by the funds have added a new twist. As we can see in today's market the funds continue to defend their extremely long position in the front-end, just as I had anticipated. Their position is not based on traditional fundamental reasoning or on historical supply and demand data. It is more complex and wide-reaching. They are trying to protect assets in various classes and *dark-pools and are using markets we are not accustom to seeing them in... i.e. the soybean market!”

* - Dark pools are offshore non regulated trading platforms – outside the regulation of SEC/US Treasury and not on BT/NYSE/NYME.      We are talking for Pirates and friends of Putin. If you have to ask you shouldnt be trading there.

Wednesday, March 30, 2016 End of China's Corn stockpiling Threatens Global Feed-grain Trade

Grain traders worried on Tuesday about the risk for reduced demand from China after the government said it would scrap its corn stockpiling program at a time when global markets are awash with excess supplies.

Traders said importers in China would likely reduce purchases of farm products used to feed livestock, including sorghum and the ethanol byproduct distiller's dried grains (DDGs). They said the policy shift is expected to bring domestic corn prices in line with cheaper foreign supplies. 

Read More HERE!

Current US Drought Monitor - New map released each Thursday

NATIONAL DAIRY MARKET NEWS AT A GLANCE - For the week of May 4-8, 2015

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