Summary: If StoneX’s (INTL FCStone) corn estimate is too high, the median error (in years when the StoneX’s estimate was too high) was 1.6%. Based on StoneX’s estimate of 15,320 Mil Bu, that would equate to about 252 Mil Bu less – – or 15,068 Mil Bu. USDA’s July WASDE corn Read More
Argentina’s New Government Hikes Export Taxes on Ag Products: As anticipated, Argentina’s new government has hiked export levies on soy, wheat and corn, according to an official decree on Saturday, hitting farmers in the grains exporting nation to raise revenue needed to avoid default on a mountain of Read More
Time for politics 101 in Canada:
Trudeau is Liberal as you probably know and they don’t
want to push unions to much.
So they may drag on a special session to legislate them
back to work.
In the election in October Trudeau did not win one seat
in Alberta or Saskatchewan – all Progressive Conservative Read More
Soybean bulls are talking about the same thing as corn bulls… a large winter storm forecast to hit the North and an extremely late-maturing U.S. crop. The USDA reported just 14% of the corp has been “harvested” vs. 34% on average. Iowa 5% harvested vs. 26% on average; Illinois Read More
Soybean bears seem to be making a little more noise about a burdensome balance sheet. The production problems in Argentina have been well advertised, but the trade seems uncertain about the full extent of damage. The Rosario Grain Exchange made a huge cut yesterday to their Argentina soybean production Read More
Assuming “normal” South American crops, I suspect we’ll eventually catch up
with predicted corn exports, but I’m not sure about soybeans–depends on China
CORN SHIPMENTS ARE RUNNING AT 56% VS. LAST YEAR VS. USDA FORECAST 84%
SOYBEANS 87.5% 103.5%
WHEAT 93% 95%